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Wednesday, 3 January 2013

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West Antarctic Ice Sheet warming at twice the earlier estimate

US: A new analysis of temperature records by US researchers suggests that the West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS) is warming at twice the rate previously thought.

According to the report published in the journal Nature Geoscience, the study is based on data kept at Byrd station, established by the US in the mid-1950s and located in the center of the WAIS.

Using a computer model of the atmosphere and a numerical analysis method to fill in the missing observations, researchers found that the average annual temperature increased 2.4C between 1958 and 2010.

“What we're seeing is one of the strongest warming signals on Earth,” said Andrew Monaghan, co-author and scientist at the US National Centre for Atmospheric Research.

“This is the first time we've been able to determine that there's warming going on during the summer season.” he added. Researchers said they found the first evidence of warming during the southern hemisphere's summer months.

Although it is natural to expect warmer weather during Antarctic summers, the region is so cold that makes it extremely rare for temperatures to get above freezing.

Study co-author Prof. David Bromwich of Ohio State University, therefore referred to the situation as a critical threshold.

“The fact that temperatures are rising in the summer means there's a prospect of WAIS not only being melted from the bottom as we know it is today, but in future it looks probable that it will be melting from the top as well,” he said.

Scientists say that the rise in temperatures is caused by changes in winds and weather patterns coming from the Pacific Ocean, but believe further study would be needed to explore the role of human activities as well. “We're seeing a more dynamic impact that's due to climate change that's occurring elsewhere on the globe translating down and increasing the heat transportation to the WAIS.” said Dr. Monaghan.

“This place has very variable weather - some of it is influenced by human acts and some of it isn't. I think its premature to answer that question right now.”

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