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Monday, 19 March 2012

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Weekly Market Review:

Foreign institutional buying push volumes to 4 year high

The ASPI lost 7.22 points to close the week at 5449.05 points down 0.13% compared to the previous week. The MPI however gained 42.61 points (up 0.88% W-o-W) to close the week at 4864.25 points. JKH accounted for 85.31% of total market turnover this week as a significant foreign purchase worth Rs 14.35 billion boosted the counter. Also among the top contributors to the week’s turnover value were Aviva NDB and Orient Garments Plc, which cumulatively contributed a 3.12% of total turnover value.

The turnover value for the week increased drastically to Rs 18.22 billion, averaging Rs 3.64 billion relative to last week’s daily average of Rs 0.56 billion. Market capitalization however, declined 0.13% over the week to Rs 1997.99 billion (Rs 2000.61billion previously). The Diversified sector - aided mostly by JKH (Rs 15.54 billion) - dominated the market’s weekly turnover value; the sector accounted for 86.31% of total market turnover value or Rs 15.72 billion.

The Banking and Finance sector contributed 5.65% of the week’s turnover or Rs 1.03 billion, while the Manufacturing sector’s turnover value amounted to 495.41 million, a contribution of 2.27% to total market turnover. Turnover volume for the week was also dominated by the Diversified sector as 80.09mn JKH shares helped the sector contribute 46.72% or (96.23 million shares) of the total market volume. The Manufacturing sector accounted for 17.59% or (36.23 million shares), while 13.28% of the market’s share volume was contributed by the Banking and Finance sector where 27.36 million shares changed hands.

Asiri Central Hospitals Plc was the highest price gainer for the week closing at Rs 181.00 to represent a 29.29% gain from last week’s close of Rs140.00.

E B Creasy & Company Plc gained 20.00% to close the week at Rs 1200.00 and Equity Two Plc closed up 19.74% at Rs 27.90. Amongst the top price losers was Beruwela Walk Inn Plc which declined 22.85% to close at Rs 130.00 from last week’s close of Rs 168.50. CDB [NV] followed suit, closing at Rs 45.70, down 22.54% while Agstar Fertilizers Ltd lost 20.63% over the week to close at Rs 15.00. JKH led the volume list this week, accounting for 38.89% or 80.09 million shares of the week’s aggregate share volume. Orient Garments Plc and PC Pharma Plc together contributed 13.17% (or 27.13 million shares) to the market’s total share volume.

Point of view

Markets which were sluggish for most of the week rebounded sharply on Friday with volumes reaching a new high (Rs 15.7 billion) since 2008. Large transactions by International Investment Bank CIMB’s largest shareholder Khazanah Nasional in blue-chip JKH pushed volumes to new highs, boosting overall markets. The transaction also helped the bourse’s net inflow for the first three months of the year to reach US $ 142 million, a sharp contrast to a net outflow of US $ 153 million for the full year 2011. Large block trades in banking counters such as HNB and COMB also propped volumes and helped the main Index gain 24 points over the week and 52 points on Friday. Next week’s volumes too are likely to be influenced by potential large government transactions, targeted for foreign investors and aimed at easing pressure on the Rupee.

The Central Bank on Wednesday meanwhile downgraded its 2012 GDP growth forecast to 7.2% (from 8.0% previously).

Policy rates however, were held steady despite market expectations of an increase and the recent wide fluctuations in the Rupee. The Rupee depreciated against most of the major currencies over the week, with the US $ recording a new high of Rs 126.30 at close of trade on Friday.

Acuity Stockbrokers Research | Sri Lanka Equities

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