Climate change downsizing fauna, flora: study
Climate change is reducing the body size of many animal and plant
species, including some which supply vital nutrition for more than a
billion people already living near hunger’s threshold, according to a
study released Sunday. From micro-organisms to top predators, nearly 45
percent of species for which data was reviewed grew smaller over
multiple generations due to climate change, researchers found.
The impact of rapidly climbing temperatures and shifts in rainfall
patterns on body size could have unpredictable and possible severe
consequences, they warned.
Previous work established that recent climate change has led to sharp
shifts in habitat and the timing of reproductive cycles. But impact on
the size of plants and animals has received far less attention.
Fossil records
Jennifer Sheridan and David Bickford at the National University of
Singapore looked at scientific literature on climate-change episodes in
the distant past and at experiments and observations in recent history.
Fossil records, they found, were unambiguous: past periods of rising
temperatures had led both marine and land organisms to became
progressively smaller.
During a warming event 55 million years ago - often seen as an
analogue for current climate change - beetles, bees, spiders, wasps and
ants shrank by 50 to 75 percent over a period of several thousand years.
Mammals such as squirrels and woodrats also diminished in size, by
about 40 percent.
The pace of current warming, though, is far greater than during this
so-called Palaeocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum (PETM).
It, too, has begun to shrink dozens of species, the study found.
Among 85 examples cited, 45 percent were unaffected. But of those
remaining, four out of five had gotten smaller, while a fifth got
bigger.
Aquatic species
Some of the shrinkage came as a surprise. “Plants were expected to
get larger with increased atmospheric carbon dioxide,” but many wound up
stunted due to changes in temperature, humidity and nutrients available,
the researchers said. For cold-blooded animals - including insects,
reptiles and amphibians - the impact is direct: experiments suggest that
an upward tick of one degree Celsius translates into roughly a 10
percent increase in metabolism, the rate at which an organism uses
energy. That, in turn, results in downsizing.
The common toad, for example, has measurably shriveled in girth in
only two decades, along with some tortoises, marine iguanas and lizards.
Overfishing has been blamed for decreased body size in both wild and
commercially-harvested aquatic species, threatening the key source of
protein of a billion people around the world, mainly in Africa and Asia.
But experiments and observational studies have shown that warming
waters play a role as well, especially in rivers and lakes.
Birds - including passerines, goshawks and gulls - and mammals such
as soay sheep, red dear and polar bears, have also trended towards less
bulk.
Global temperatures
Some of the most worrying changes are at the bottom of the food
chain, especially in the ocean, where tiny phytoplankton and
calcium-building creatures are dwindling in size due to acidification
and the reduced capacity of warmer water to hold oxygen and nutrients.
Carbon pollution has probably locked in an additional 1.0 C increase
in average global temperatures, and continued emissions of greenhouse
gases could push up the thermometre another 4.0 to 5.0 C (7.4 to 9.0 F)
by centuries end, according to the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change (IPCC).
Because warming is occurring at unprecedented rates, “may organisms
may not respond or adapt quickly enough”, especially those with long
generation times, the authors noted in an email.
“We do not yet know the exact mechanisms involved, or why some
organisms are getting smaller while others are unaffected,” they added.
“Until we understand more, we could be risking negative consequences
that we can’t yet quantify.”
The study is published in the peer-reviewed journal Nature Climate
Change.
AFP |