Velvet gloves
VLADIMIR RADYUHIN in Moscow
The WikiLeaks Russian dossier exposes the NATO claim that the
alliance’s eastward expansion is not directed against Russia
WikiLeaks dropped a bombshell when it released the United States
diplomatic cables, which showed that even as the US and the North
Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) declared a ‘reset’ in relations with
Russia they were drawing new contingency plans for a war with Russia in
Eastern Europe.
US President Barack Obama with Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin in
Novo-Ogarevo outside Moscow on July 7, 2009 |
The cables revealed a secret NATO plan drawn up this year to expand
defence arrangements along Russian borders. While US President Barack
Obama expounded upon the need to give a fresh start to relations with
Russia, US Admiral James Stavridis, NATO’s top commander in Europe,
urged NATO to prepare for defending Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia, as
well as Poland, against a growing Russian threat. US officials justified
new war preparations by pointing to the beating the Russian army gave to
Georgia in August 2008. It is conveniently omitted that it was Georgia
that attacked Russian forces, not the other way round.
Codenamed Eagle Guardian, the NATO plan was compiled in January and
formally approved at the NATO summit in Lisbon in November. At that
meeting, the alliance adopted its new official doctrine, which stated
that NATO-Russia cooperation was of crucial importance since it
contributed to creating “a common space of peace, stability and
security”.
Dmitry Medvedev. A leaked document describes him as “pale and
hesitant” in comparison with the “alpha-dog” Putin, a reference
to Medvedev being the junior partner in the Kremlin duumvirate |
NATO Secretary-General Anders Fogh Rasmussen made it a point to
invite Russian President Dmitry Medvedev to Lisbon to underscore a fresh
start in the alliance’s relations with Russia. A joint NATO-Russia
statement approved in Lisbon solemnly declared that the two sides
“embarked on a new stage of cooperation towards a true strategic
partnership”.
NATO, of course, courted Moscow because it badly needed Russian help
to extricate itself from the quagmire of the Afghan war. In Lisbon,
Russia and NATO signed agreements for increased Russian assistance to
the US - led NATO force in Afghanistan, which will include the supply of
Russian gunship and transport helicopters, training of Afghan pilots and
mechanics, and expansion of the overland transit arrangement to allow
the so-called reverse transit of non-lethal armour and other equipment
from Afghanistan.
Simultaneously, NATO secretly endorsed a war plan against Russia that
identified nine NATO divisions for combat operations in the event of a
Russian attack against the Baltic states and provided for the deployment
of naval assault forces and British and US warships in the Baltic Sea.
At the first-ever US-Poland High Level Defence Group meeting in Warsaw
in November 2009, the sides discussed deployment in Poland of US F-16
fighter planes, C-130 transport aircraft, a naval unit and some support
detachments. Next year, NATO forces will begin training for the new war
scenario.
“Washington and its Western allies have for the first time since the
end of the Cold War drawn up classified military plans to defend the
most vulnerable parts of Eastern Europe against Russian threats,” The
Guardian wrote, commenting on the confidential US diplomatic cables.
WikiLeaks releases also laid bare US plans to build missile defences
in Europe, allegedly to defend allies against Iran and North Korea.
Washington has consistently denied that the missiles could target
Russia.
In what was hailed as a symbol of new partnership, NATO at the Lisbon
summit invited Russia to join in building a common missile defence
shield for Europe. Rasmussen called it “a shared security roof” that
would be “a strong political symbol that Russia is fully part of the
Euro-Atlantic family”.
Double dealing
NATO leaders during the summit in Lisbon, Portugal, on November
19. Russian President Dmitry Medvedev was invited to the summit
to underscore a fresh start in the alliance’s relations with
Russia |
US confidential cables tell a different story. In November last year,
US Assistant Defence Secretary Alexander Vershbow offered the Poles a
role in the US missile defence project by hosting land-based “standard
missile-3” interceptors. Earlier this year, US Brigadier General John
Hesterman told Polish officials that contrary to official denials, the
proposed US anti-missile system in Europe could be used against Russia.
US Embassy in Warsaw quoted Poles as “suggesting that Russia, not
Iran, poses the greater threat to Poland” and asking “a series of
hypothetical questions on the adaptive nature of the system vis-a-vis
the changing threat”.
“With regard to how NATO might defend itself from missiles coming
from elsewhere than Iran or Syria, BG John Hesterman of the joint staff
said that sea-borne platforms could provide surge capability against
threats from an unforeseen direction, land-based sites could be upgraded
with more interceptors if the scale of the threat were increased, and
radars could be reoriented,” US Embassy reported.
The leaked NATO plan speaks volumes about the West’s double - dealing
on Russia. It exposes the NATO propaganda myth that the alliance’s
eastward expansion is not directed against Russia. Contrary to its
assurances to Russia, US and NATO have continued to see it as an enemy
that needs to be contained and encircled.
Compared with the secret NATO war plans, WikiLeaks’ files on Russian
politics and leaders offer few insights, although there is enough in
them to annoy the Kremlin. Describing the Russian ruling tandem, one
cable disparagingly speaks of Medvedev as “playing Robin to (Prime
Minister Vladimir) Putin’s Batman” as in the popular US comic book
series. Another document calls Medvedev “pale and hesitant” in
comparison with the “alpha-dog” Putin – a reference to the superhero in
another comic series, “Ultimate Fantastic Four”.
A Washington-datelined secret cable quoted US Foreign Secretary
Hillary Clinton telling Australian Prime Minister Kevin Rudd in March
2009 that Putin was a “behind-the-scenes puppeteer”.
These descriptions, however, add little to what is common knowledge
in Russia: that Medvedev is the junior partner in the Kremlin
duumvirate. “We found nothing interesting or deserving comment in the
material,” Russian President’s spokeswoman Natalya Timakova said.
“Fictional Hollywood heroes hardly need comment.”
Many leaked communiques deal with familiar Russian evils – crime,
corruption and lack of democracy. A February cable from the US Embassy
in Madrid quotes a Spanish investigator claiming that Russia is a
“virtual mafia state” where political parties, police agencies and
possibly even Putin work in collusion with organized crime groups.
The US Embassy in Moscow calls the claims “insightful and valuable”
and refers to Moscow as a “kleptocracy” with the Kremlin at the centre.
Some messages read like plain marketplace gossip. US diplomats quoted
unnamed sources in Moscow as claiming that Putin has amassed a personal
fortune of $40 billion but giving no proof. Putin’s office issued an
angry rebuttal.
“If there are real diplomats behind this text, then it is sad and
distressing that there are incompetent people working in our country,” a
Russian Government spokesman told reporters, dismissing the claims as
“pure insinuation and utter rubbish”.
US Defence Secretary Robert Gates made his own contribution of sorts
to the US-Russian reset. In a February 12 cable from the US Embassy in
Paris, Gates is quoted as telling his French counterpart that “Russian
democracy has disappeared” and that the Government is “an oligarchy run
by the security services”. Gates adds that Medvedev has a more pragmatic
vision than Putin, “but there has been little real change”, according to
the document. US defence chief was trying to persuade the French to
cancel their plans to sell an amphibious assault ship to Russia, but
failed.
foreign policy
Remarks of top US officials responsible for formulating America’s
foreign policy show that Washington draws a clear distinction between
Putin and Medvedev, sees rivalry in the tandem, and clearly favours
Medvedev over Putin. However, Washington would be committing a mistake
if it stakes its policy on divisions within the Russian duumvirate: it
could only antagonize the Kremlin. Putin was quick to give a dressing
down to Washington, denouncing as “impudent, brazen and aggressive” the
attempts to “create a split” in his tandem with Medvedev.
At the end of the day, Moscow is determined not to let the WikiLeaks
scandal derail the “reset” with Washington. “We are not paranoid, and we
do not link Russian-American relations with any leaks,” said Medvedev.
Russia’s Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov shrugged off the leaked
documents as “amusing reading”, while Foreign Ministry spokesman Alexei
Sazonov insisted that Russia was committed to the “positive development
of bilateral relations with the United States”.
However, there are concerns in Moscow that the cable gate may still
affect its relations with Washington. The massive disclosure of US
confidential diplomatic correspondence could weaken Obama and undermine
his resolve to pursue better relations with Russia.“The Obama
administration, its position shattered by this embarrassing exposure,
will now find it much harder to follow through on the course of
rapprochement with Moscow,” said political analyst Fyodor Lukyanov.
Some experts went as far as to suggest that the leaks may have been
organized by Obama’s political opponents. Dr Alexei Fenenko of the
Moscow-based Institute for International Security Studies draws
attention to the fact that the WikiLeaks expose was timed to coincide
with the midterm election to Congress, in which the Democrats suffered a
painful setback.
The
Frontline |