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Fitch affirms Ceylease and assigns 'BB+(lka)' to proposed subordinated debt

Fitch Ratings has affirmed the National Long-term rating of Ceylease Financial Services Ltd (CFSL) at 'BBB-(lka)' (BBB minus(lka)). At the same time, the agency assigned a National Long-term rating of 'BB+(lka)' to CFSL's proposed subordinated debenture issue of up to Rs 300m. The rating Outlook is Stable.

The ratings reflect the implied support deemed to be available to CFSL through its key shareholder Bank of Ceylon (BoC, rated 'AA(lka)'/Stable Outlook), which owns 55 percent. The rating is, however, constrained by CFSL's small scale of operations, its weak profitability and solvency (as measured by net NPL/equity). Fitch notes that a perceived weakening in BoC's intention (or ability) to extend support could result in a downgrade of CFSL's ratings. Meanwhile, the rating on the proposed subordinated debenture issue reflects the instrument's lower recoverability in the event of a default, in line with Fitch's methodology.

CFSL's loan growth has traditionally been slower than that of most other specialised leasing companies (SLCs) that Fitch rates, driven largely by its limited reach; the company launched its second branch in Kandy in late-2007. However, CFSL has had to limit its loan growth further in FY08 due to its high regulatory gearing ratio (7.74x equity at FYE08), which was on a trajectory to breach the ceiling of 7.0x that came into effect in January 2009 (previously 10x).

Fitch notes that CFSL's high gearing is a function of its relatively low profitability and weak earnings retention in the past. Equity/assets for other Fitch-rated SLCs stood at 15.74 per cent at FYE08, compared to 11.14 per cent for CFSL.

The agency also observes that while dividends were not drawn out in FY08 (in contrast to previous years) in a bid to improve gearing, an equity infusion may still be required. Absolute profit declined in FY08 as incremental business generation was inadequate to cover marginal costs. Consequently, ROA declined to 0.52 percent at FYE08 from 0.84 percent at FYE07.

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