Rubber - the most remunerative plantation crop
Clinton Rodrigo
RUBBER: The most feasible and profitable plantation crop now.
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RUBBER INDUSTRY: This narration constitutes advice to an investor
today - contemplating a worth-while and profitable investment into a
plantation crop where he effectually faces a "Hobson's Choice". This
article is aimed to help this "Doubting Thomas" as best as I could.
My contention appears to be the opinion of the many who are today
acquitting themselves as outstanding and excellent plantation personnel
- and not a case of the "monkey praising his own tail". Please accept
this contention with due modesty to my self as I do not want any one to
feel otherwise.
About sixty percent of the senior executive officers of the 20
regional plantation companies and its allied companies are those with
whom I had the very pleasure and privilege to work with. They all
constitute the "Cream" of the earlier existent plantation arena during
the nationalised era.
Initially, the investor whom I am hoping to advice should select the
crop he intends to plant from the above stated by isolating the suitable
area - by virtue of its location. Rainfall, elevation, topography and
the success of that crop selected - and how it grows as at now in its
present location.
I must state that at this juncture, the crop rubber appears to be the
most feasible and profitable. But it must be remembered that this crop
is very selective to the above criteria mentioned. It can be successful
and economically grown only below an elevation of about 800 ft above sea
level and in adequately rain fed areas of Sabaragamuwa, Kegalle and
Kalutara districts.
I am aware that the Government is keen on growing budded rubber in
Bibile and Moneragala - which in my view has inadequate rainfall. They
were and are essentially citrus growing areas - where earlier old
seedling rubber grew. The possible success then was that old seedling
rubber has a deep penetrating "tap root" - which feeds from deep into
the soil.
The then rubber growers underwent an unbelievable slump in prices
that lasted for decades and this situation dissuaded the planting of
rubber as a profitable crop. This resulted in our export volume dropping
to about 1-2% as at now from the earlier 8%. Further the then rubber
planters uprooted their rubber and planted essentially tea and oil palm
as substitute crops.
But now the wheel has turned full circle and every one wants to grow
rubber. But I should warn the government that they should not kill the
goose that lays the golden eggs by imposing unnecessary and heavy taxes
incessantly. This action will only dissuade the objective of personnel
being induced to plant rubber. The crop rubber as at today is the most
profitable crop from the vast range of specified plantation crops and
hopefully it should remain so if disincentives are not forcibly imposed.
My contention is that I should restrict myself to the crop rubber in
this narration as if I do so for all the crops mentioned at the
inception, this article will never be published. The printed media is
insistent that they publish only short narrations. In all instances it
is difficult to make same "short and sweet" and also getting in all that
has to be stated.
The reader may question as to the reason why this sleeping giant -
rubber suddenly arose from the deep slumber to now eventuate in
obtaining optimum prices. This did not occur for over the past 20-30
years when the rubber grower was a frustrated, disgruntled individual
who had to sell his rubber land or plant another crop after uprooting
the rubber in desperation having no other alternative but to do so.
The principal rubber growing countries are Malaysia, Thailand,
Vietnam, Indonesia and our own Sri Lanka now being only a minor
contributor to the requirements of the world market. These countries
mentioned are surrounded by two of the largest heavily populated
countries in the world.
The most densely populated is China - now developed and has opened
its doors to foreign trade as against what it was earlier a closed
economy. It is common knowledge that China has a massive population of
one thousand three hundred million souls. Besides China, the other large
giant is India, now having almost the same population as China may be a
little less. Hence their demand for rubber is unbelievably excessive.
These two countries have a combined population of two hundred and
fifty thousand million human souls. This appears gigantic against our
Sri Lankan population of a negligible twenty million. The other rubber
growing countries mentioned herein do not come anywhere near the total
population of India and China. Both these countries are desperatively
striving to control population.
Hence the commonest family planning contraceptive termed condom - can
only be made with natural rubber - and nothing is made off the
alternative synthetic or artificial rubber. In addition, large
quantities of natural rubber is used to satisfy the international
requirement of gloves both surgical and household.
The competition that existed from synthetic rubber to the natural
rubber industry has thus virtually ended - as the raw product for the
manufacture of synthetic rubber is petroleum or Oil. As is common
knowledge now, the cost of this commodity has increased by leaps and
bounds due to the heavy or shall I say very heavy price increase of oil
in the world market. This happening has thereby effectually or totally
stopped the manufacture of synthetic rubber.
Besides this catastrophe, however much technical know how has
improved, still it cannot in many instances match the intrinsic,
inherent natural properties of natural rubber. These two reasons in the
main is why there is an effectually unclassifiable insatiable growing
demand for natural rubber. The main method of international transport
from one country to another is now by air - which mode too has increased
beyond comprehension. Hence essentially aeroplane tyres and pneumatic
tyres can use only those made of natural rubber.
In addition, as I have mentioned earlier in this narration, rubber
growing can be successfully done if it merits the criterion of what I
mentioned at the commencement of this article. Hence the globalisation
of growing rubber is compulsorily shrunk in consequence.
As a result as at now with it getting worse in time to come where
natural rubber is concerned production would never be able to meet
international demand. Hence here lies the positive future for natural
rubber.
In consequence, as at now it is the crop that should grow from
strength to strength and hence as national minded civic conscious
citizens lets "hit the iron while it's hot" and hoping and praying that
it remains so. This is the only guarantee that more and more people will
continue to grow more and more rubber in spite of the unfortunate
repressive restrictions nationally imposed on its further planting.
The Government can help achieve this objective by not imposing
destructive further cesses and levies. But in the alternative it should
afford more advantageous features to induce and encourage the more
accentuated growth of rubber in the interest of the foreign exchange
potential of this crop both in the exportation of Value Added rubber
products and also in the raw form.
The acceptable contention is like the "light at the end of the
tunnel" in this instance it will be money at the end to the producer
that ultimately matters to encourage and induce the rubber grower - and
the investor to further propagate the plantation crop - rubber. This
will benefit both the individual concerned and the country - our own Sri
Lanka.
(The writer, a veteran planter, was one-time
regional Chairman of JEDB Plantations in the Hatton, Nuwara Eliya, Kandy
and Avissawella Regional Boards).
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