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Fitch affirms John Keells at 'AAA(lka)'

Fitch Ratings has affirmed John Keells Holdings PLC's (JKH) National Long-Term rating at 'AAA(lka)'. The outlook is stable.

The affirmation reflects JKH's resilience of dividend inflows to, and resultant low financial leverage (net debt/EBITDA excluding non-recurring items) at the holding company (HoldCo).

This is in turn driven by the strong competitive positions of most of its key operating companies.

Fitch also notes that the risk of structural subordination of HoldCo creditors is low as JKH's key dividend-paying companies have minimal debt on their balance sheets.

"JKH's track record of maintaining a conservative capital structure at HoldCo by funding acquisitions and expansions largely via a combination of pre-issued equity and retained earnings provides added comfort to its rating" Hasira De Silva, Assistant Vice President at Fitch Ratings Lanka Ltd said.

"The rating also reflects JKH's strong liquidity position, well-spread-out debt maturities, and its exceptionally strong access to local banks and capital markets" De Silva said.

Its capital structure is also supported by its broad ownership profile, where the single-largest shareholder owned 21 percent at end-March 2011 (FYE11).

In FY11, JKH's group revenue grew by 26 percent yoy to Rs 60.5bn, while its EBITDA (excluding non-recurring items) grew by 51 percent yoy to Rs 7.7bn, as most operating segments benefited from resurgence in regional and local economic activities. At HoldCo, South Asia Gateway Terminals (SAGT) - JKH's 42 percent-owned terminal operator at the Port of Colombo (POC) - accounted for 59 percent of total dividends, while its leisure and property segment and financial services contributed 20 percent and 10 percent, respectively.

Over the medium-term, JKH expects dividends from its leisure sector to increase and account for a greater proportion of earnings at HoldCo.

Key among the medium-term risks is a new deep-water terminal at POC, which will increase container-handling capacity and could dampen SAGT's profitability and its capacity to upstream dividends.

However, Fitch expects this threat to be mitigated by the strong growth in regional transshipment demand.

 

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