REPORT
Investment on defence paid off - Central Bank Governor
The cost of Sri Lanka's "war on terrorism" was a vital investment by
the Government and the people, said Central Bank of Sri Lanka Governor
Ajith Nivard Cabraal.
Making a presentation to the commission of inquiry on Lessons Learnt
and Reconciliation he said that many previous Governments did not pursue
"defeat of terrorism by military means" with enthusiasm, because of the
perceived massive "cost" that it was supposed to entail, and the tough
economic decisions that needed to be taken, as a consequence.
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Governor
Ajith Nivard Cabraal |
Hence, an analysis of the cost of the military effort during the past
four years, 2006 to 2009, may be a useful guide for the future.
Contrary to popular belief, Sri Lanka has spent just about four
percent of its GDP on defence over the four years, 2006 to 2009. For a
country that has been plagued by terrorism, this quantum of Government
spending on defence, indicates restraint and thrift in waging the
counter terrorism effort.
He said the final results where Sri Lanka emerged as the first
country to defeat terrorism, shows that Sri Lanka has been able to spend
its resources in an efficient and productive manner.
For the four years 2006-2009, the cost incurred by Sri Lanka on the
LTTE war was US $ 5.5 billion.
This included costs of aircraft, ships, tanks, ammunitions, other
equipment, training, food for soldiers and uniforms. In contrast the
cost incurred by the US Government on training of their forces in Iraq
and Afghanistan amounted to US $ 39 billion, he said.
When terrorism was finally defeated, an extraordinary amount of
economic benefits accrued to the return to the high economic growth
trajectory - eight percent.
There is a greater efficiency in allocation of all economic
resources.
Improved political and economic stability and investor confidence,
new opportunities being seized by the private sector and improved fiscal
management leading to better micro-economic fundamentals are some of
these economic benefits, he said.
"These benefits would clearly indicate that the investment on defence
has paid off," he said.
The Governor also said terrorism funding was key to the launch of
successful terrorist attacks and the continuation of the LTTE agenda.
There were massive local and overseas inflows of funds supporting the
terrorism effort in Sri Lanka. Some of the LTTE's local fund raising
main sources were their illegal system of tax collection, ransoms for
kidnappings and gold and jewellery contributions. They also operated
their own network of banks.
Monthly contributions from the diaspora, fund raising events, illegal
drugs distribution, credit card scams and human trafficking are some of
the LTTE's international fund raising methods, he said. They used
legitimate channels and underground methods to transmit the funds.
The response to financing of terror had to be global as well as
local, he said.
Freezing of suspected accounts promptly to disrupt the terror
financing network, practising an advanced level of financial
intelligence, sharing information among FIVs of the world, using global
identification systems of terror financing and money laundering patterns
and formulating necessary new laws and regulations are some of the
responses to terror financing. However, the terrorist financiers tried
to be a step ahead through resorting to new schemes and obtaining
powerful covers and continued to practise certain discovered schemes,
but with new names.
They often used the weakest links such as negligent banks,
sympathetic officers or inefficient processes, clogged legal and
prosecution processes to make them slow. The terrorist financiers
developed their own intelligence to get "tipped off" when counter action
is contemplated by the authorities, he said.
He said many so-called "economic interventions" seemed to be attempts
to indirectly pressurize Sri Lanka to halt or dilute the final
humanitarian effort. Examples are the threat of GSP+ concessions
withdrawal at sensitive times delay in the approval of IMF-SBA.
"It is vital that we maintain sound macro-economic fundamentals in
the future so as to provide a "cushion" for external shocks, so that
such threats could be confidently faced," he said.
Massive global mis-information campaigns were carefully designed to
affect Sri Lanka's economy, funding sources, cost of borrowing and
country ratings.
Hence, a massive effort had to be launched and maintained to convey
the positive features of the economy. Even in the future, these efforts
have to be continued, in the interest of economic stability, he said.
Upgrading of country ratings, removal of war risk premia , relaxation
of travel advisories, investor sentiment and oversubscribed
international bond issues and no fall-out from GSP+ withdrawals are some
the successes the country has achieved, he said.
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