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Washington hunts a way out of Afghanistan

US and NATO fail to win hearts and minds:

Finally, it seems, the penny has dropped. America's 'good war' cannot be won militarily. Signs indicate that the US President, who was so gung ho on Afghanistan before taking office, has got the message. More troops just won't cut it. "We have no illusions," Secretary of State Hillary Clinton said recently.


 US President Barack Obama walks through section 60, the burial sites of the war dead from Iraq and Afghanistan, after participating in Veterans Day events at the Tomb of the Unknown Soldiers on November 11, 2009 at Arlington National Cemetery in Arlington, Virginia. Pictures courtesy GETTY images

"This is not the prior days when people would come on your show and talk about how we were going to help the Afghans build a modern democracy and build a more functioning state and do all of these wonderful things". The administration's priority is America's security she said with refreshing frankness, or to be more precise with what she hopes will pass for refreshing frankness.

But let's be fair! At least, she isn't hypocritically banging on about the poor Afghan women deprived of wearing nail varnish like Laura Bush and Cherie Blair did in 2001 or giving the impression that Kabul will emerge like a phoenix as the region's Helsinki.

The bottom line is this. The US has achieved nothing of substance in Afghanistan over the past eight years.

If anything, the country is in a worse state that it was when America and its allies marched in ostensibly on the hunt for the elusive Osama Bin Laden. With nothing to show for its efforts, Washington has a problem.

It needs an exit strategy that looks like a win. For two reasons: first, its reputation as a mighty military power that can't be beaten, and especially by tribal clansmen.

And second, if it closes shop empty-handed, how does it explain the rising number of troop deaths and the billions that are still being poured onto an arid soil in the middle of an economic downturn? As President Barack Obama once said, "You can put lipstick on a pig, but it's still a pig". The Taleban control more than 80 percent of the country. Moreover, Afghanistan's democracy has been shown to be a sham and its government riddled with corruption; so much so that America's Ambassador to Kabul Karl Eikenberry has advised the White House not to send more troops unless the leadership cleanses itself of corruption. No wonder, Obama is currently engaged in a re-think!


US soldiers patrolling a highway in Afghanistan

Most of his allies have already had theirs. They don't want to know. They understand that sending their young men to fight a war without end in the "Graveyard of Empires" is no vote getter. And, in any case, this isn't their war. Britain is, of course, an exception because preserving the so-called special trans-Atlantic relationship transcends all other concerns.

British Premier Gordon Brown has already trodden, oh so lightly, on Obama's toes by withdrawing British troops from southern Iraq and giving the green light to Scotland to repatriate the Lockerbie bomber.

The climate got so frosty at one point that the British Foreign Office practically had to go on its knees to get Brown a one-on-one meeting with his US counterpart last September when the PM was in the US. This is why the beleaguered Brown is committed to sending 500 troops to Afghanistan to bolster the 9,000 already in theater; a move, which has failed to please anybody as the US wants another 1,500, while 71 percent of Britons want their troops brought home within a year.


South Korean protesters shout slogans during a rally opposing the scheduled visit of U.S. President Barack Obama in Seoul, South Korea, Saturday, Nov. 14, 2009. About 200 protesters opposed the dispatch of South Korean troops to Afghanistan. A placard at right reads: “A war for massacre right after winning the Nobel Peace Prize?”.

Obama and Brown aren't exactly spelling it out but it's evident that they have both reached a similar conclusion. It may be a bitter pill but as the old saying goes if you can't beat 'em, join 'em. In other words, the only way this war is going to end is if the Taleban can be brought into the political fold in return for relinquishing their weapons. They cannot be eradicated in the way that handfuls of foreign fighters can. They are Afghans. They are not going anywhere. And, like it or not, force will not change their ideology.

Battling a belief system is akin to punching in the air. It's virtually impossible to know who the Taleban are without battalions of psychic thought police. The Taleban aren't going around with convenient Taleb slogans on their backs. And that's why so many innocent villagers are being bombed, which only serves to harden the anti-Western attitudes of ordinary Afghans. Whichever way it's dressed up, Afghanistan is not a 'good war' if, indeed, such an animal even exists. The US should never have invaded in the first place. You just need a rudimentary knowledge of the country's history to realize that. Invaders have come and invaders have gone.

In any case, as the FBI has confirmed, there is no proof that Bin Laden was the man behind the attacks on America's soil. Indeed, Khalid Sheikh Mohammed is about to be tried as the mastermind behind that crime in New York.


US soldiers patrolling a highway

In the end the US and NATO will walk away empty-handed. They failed to get Bin Laden and Mullah Omar. They failed to secure the country. They failed to introduce true democracy. They failed to better the lot of women and girls.

They failed to destroy the poppy fields. They failed in their reconstruction efforts. And they failed to win hearts and minds. What a dreadful waste! A leaked memo indicates the Britain is pushing Afghan President Hamid Karzai to negotiate with the Taleban, says The Guardian, while the Foreign Office and MI6 are backing efforts to "remove reconciled Taleban from the United Nation's sanctions list."


A US Marine (C) of 2nd Battalion 2 Marines of 2nd Marine Expeditionary Brigade patrols in Garmsir district in Helmand Province in Afghanistan on November 17, 2009. US President Barack Obama is expected to announce his Afghan strategy review soon after his return from Asia next week, including whether to reinforce the 68,000 US troops that will be fighting in Afghanistan by the end of the year.

Yet in public Gordon Brown is singing the same old chorus. He still insists that his country has no intention of "appeasing the Taleban" and says "Al-Qaeda is the biggest source of threat to our national security." If that's the case why does he plan to hand parts of Helmand province to Afghans next year?

In the meantime, Clinton said the US is not interested in staying in Afghanistan while White House adviser David Axelrod warns that US deployment there won't be open-handed. It seems that the US and Britain are reading from slightly different scripts.

An army study says troop morale is declining. US and UK polls show that public support is waning. In April, Gen. David Petraeus, the Commander of US Central Command, told the Senate that the Taleban are strengthening.

This occupation has only one outcome. It will come to an end when Obama and Brown learn to say "victory" while managing to keep a straight face.

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