'De-radicalisation of Tamil rebellion'
by Professor A.M. Navaratna Bandara, Department of Political Science,
University of Peradeniya
"Politics is state activity in things great and universal.
Politics is thus the special province of the statesman" - Bluntschli
LTTE : sincerity put to test |
For the JVP and the JHU the proposed P-TOMS is a sell out of a (Sinhala)
nation and motherland. For them this mechanism will be a stepping stone
to the division of a country. The underlying assumption is that Sri
Lanka is not strong enough to make such a deal with a rebel movement
which has been fighting to establish an independent state by carving out
its territory.
Is Sri Lanka a weak state? For the JVP and JHU, having stayed in the
current world system for more than 50 years Sri Lanka has not achieved a
stable place within the world community. It is vulnerable to enemy
attacks, if a slight mistake is made it could be broken into pieces.
Funny thing is that it is only the JVP and the JHU which have taken
the task of protecting this 'fragile' State so seriously and preparing
to sacrifice the lives of their supporters (not the leaders; if some bad
thing happens they will go into hiding like on previous occasions).
No doubt, the JVP and JHU are the descendants of a people who saw a
'betrayal of Sinhalese' in the Rata Saba proposal of the 1950s or in the
D-C pact of 1965 or in the Indo-Sri Lanka Accord of 1987. For them
P-TOMS is yet another attempt that endangers the territorial integrity
of motherland.
The JVP and the JHU have already mobilized their 'garrisoned'
supporters on the streets in Colombo to read the slogans prepared at
their party offices. They have arranged the threats of self immolation
by using 'their' political monks who are ready to violate the first
Sikkapada of Panchaseela and jump over security barricades and run over
dirt on the streets ignoring the fact that they are bringing disrepute
to the sacred yellow robes, the symbol of a religion that preaches
non-violence.
The JVP is now out of the government. It has failed the first
political test arranged by the people of this country. The people who
voted for them (not their foot soldiers who are marching on the streets)
expected JVP to prove that they are no more a bunch of terrorists but a
mature political organisation once in government.
The JVP was given an opportunity to prove that as a political party
it is capable of finding policy solutions to any type of public problems
faced by the State. However, looking at the way they behaved with the
P-TOMS proposal one can say that the JVP can run a government if the
policy spheres of that government is limited only to rehabilitation of
old tanks, selling and buying paddy, dealing with the fisherfolk and
organising exhibitions of handicrafts and paintings.
For the most challenging policy problem - bringing the LTTE into the
mainstream of politics through a constructive engagement - its
prescription was to organize street protests against the efforts being
taken by the Head of State.
Now the JVP has proved that it is not capable of running a modern
government. The modern state government has to engage in problem solving
through knowledgeable governance.
Once in power we expect political leaders not to make street protests
but to use their wisdom to find solutions not only to simple policy
problems but also to enter more complex policy areas such as dealing
with anti state actors, war, global political and economic forces. The
problems faced by today's government are not limited to purely "local"
problems.
They are linked with the problems associated with globally identified
issues as well. Such issues emanating from primordial social attachments
such as ethnicity, race and religion which may upset the so called
modern way of State craft - nation State building are the more
problematic.
The JVP during this 14 month period created a headache for the
Ministers who were responsible for reforming the public sector
institutions. These institutions have become heavy burdens for the
people in trying to fulfil the demands coming from private industries
and businesses.
Now it has created a big noise on a proposal to use an opportunity to
test the LTTE's sincerity. The LTTE has insisted that they are ready to
work with the Government to engage in joint problem solving through
P-TOMS, aiming at the management of post-tsunami reconstruction in the
North-East.
Despite all the odds the President has decided to use this
opportunity to bring the LTTE into mainstream politics and forge a deal
with the global market forces through the aid packages offered by the
donors for the management of reconstruction of the post-tsunami areas.
The SLFP has agreed to stand behind the President though some leaders
in her party are playing the game of hide and seek. Nevertheless the
President is ready to take the challenge of working with the LTTE and
try to bring them to the administrative decision making process even
though the LTTE has not fully abandoned its terror tactics.
She knows that if established, P-TOMS will be a big challenge for her
government. She has to protect the Sinhala and Muslim interests in the
Eastern Province which is already brewing with religious sentiments.
Most difficult problem is to engage in confidence building exercises
with a rebel organisation which is still carrying arms and is constantly
suspicious about the motives of the Colombo Government.
The UNP, as usual as the main opposition party, is playing the hide
and seek game, sending signals in support of P-TOMS but trying to
capitalise on the infighting within the Government for their political
gains. The media moghuls supporting the UNP have launched a very crafty
disinformation campaign or "Guerrilla Marketing" to confuse the mindsets
of the people who are caught in between their real world and the fantasy
worlds created by the power hungry politicians.
One thing is clear; Sri Lanka's Neros are playing their violins even
when the country is in ruins. They just want to live with the glorious
past and the hope of conquering their political enemies. None of them is
trying to understand that the present crisis invites them to look beyond
these petty political interests.
Although the problem that the political parties are handling at the
moment is related to their current political fortunes, the challenge
faced by them is really not one of theirs. It is beyond politics. It is
a challenge faced by the State. The challenge is to find quick and
effective ways to "de-radicalise the Tamil rebellion".
The sooner the State completes this task the sooner it will be
joining the world community to reap the benefits of the present day
world civilisation. The Sri Lankan State will be stronger than ever
before if it can successfully absorb the Tamil rebellion.
De-radicalisation of radical movements is natural to any radical or
revolutionary movement. This is a hypothesis available in political
science to be tested with the lifetime of radical movements. It argues
that if these movements cannot achieve their radical objectives in the
short run their very existence becomes problematic in the long run.
Thus they make an effort to receive acceptance from the broader
sections of the population and enter into governmental institutions once
they have been rejected as 'reactionary'. As such going with the
'dynamics of politics' and passing through the "time and space" the
radical movements come to a stage in which they find that unless they
join the existing political institutions they will be going out of
business soon.
When a radical movement has come to this stage the most prominent
beneficiary is the State which finds this as the most effective way to
deal with such an anti-State movement. The war, violence and use of
coercive power are not effective mechanisms if such movements are
supported by the communities that are discriminated against by the
structures in society and government.
No State, at least in the long run, can survive if the rulers in
government use the State's coercive powers to conquer the people or
communities or territories. Conquerors like Alexander the Great, Julius
Caesar, Napoleon or Asoka failed to establish stable and sustained
empires or states in the long run. All of their empires/states fell
apart later.
This is true for the states in the modern era too. The present day
state which has to manage the web of relations emanating from both
democracy and technocracy cannot depend on coercive measures which are
no longer monopolies of the State.
Thus this is an important turning point for the Sri Lankan State. So
far it has successfully de-radicalised two generations of leftists,
namely, the old left (the LSSP and the CP) which played the role of
radicalism in politics since the 1930s to the 1960s and the new left
(the JVP) which played the role of radicalism since the 1970s to the
1990s. Now the challenge is how to de-radicalise the Tamil rebellion
represented by the LTTE.
The CFA signed by the UNF regime has opened the space to move for de-radicalisation
of the Tamil rebellion. However, the efforts taken during 2002-2003 to
establish sub-committees, particularly, Sihran to bring the LTTE to the
non-violent politics, were non-starters.
Now we have P-TOMS. It is yet another step attached to the ceasefire
process initiated in 2002 in that direction. But this time it is a god
given opportunity - it is the mother earth no one else has brought this
challenge to us. Of course, the donors have vested interests.
They may promote the agenda of global capitalism using this natural
disaster ('post-conflict reconstruction industry' or 'disaster
capitalism', the new terminologies introduced elsewhere by two
commentators). If we have an enlightened political and administrative
leadership committed to the larger national interests the country can
reap the benefits of foreign aid as happened in Singapore, Malaysia and
South Korea.
For the opponents of the P-TOMS this will give a decisive advantage
to a terrorist group which is looking forward to achieve legitimacy for
their project to establish an independent statehood by carving out part
of the territory of Sri Lanka.
For the proponents of the P-TOMS this will be a step to bring the
rebel LTTE to the normal political process and to restart negotiations.
Both of these arguments are not essentially contradictory but represent
the two ends of a continuum. Of a policy to be adopted by a peace making
government in Sri Lanka these are the obvious calculations available
from both ends of the continuum. Only a skilful handling of the process
can reach the good side of the continuum.
The LTTE knows very well that they cannot establish an independent
State in North-East Sri Lanka unless some unpredictable thing happens in
the regional and global political system. The current world order does
not provide any encouragement to divide a state which has established
very cordial relationships with other States, particularly with its
neighbours.
Although the LTTE benefited from the Cold War politics in the 1980s
to become a 'transnational enterprise', the LTTE knows that their
transnational positioning alone will not bring them an independent
nationhood. Earlier in the 1980s they thought that India would help them
to achieve it. Now they have realised the State beyond India even won't
help them to achieve it.
Now the entire world is asking them to make a deal with the State and
join the mainstream. Consequently the LTTE is now trying to make a deal
with the Sri Lankan State. They know that if the State is not ready to
deliver it they will exist as an armed group to maintain a shadow state
in the North East with the tacit approval of other States.
But they know that it is not a strong project to continue in the
current world system which is now moving with rapid process of
globalisation.
As such this is a challenge for the political leadership. It has to
grab this opportunity to make a deal with the rebels and work hard to
make redundant the idea of independent Tamil statehood in this Island
thereby assisting the Sri Lanka State to de-radicalise the Tamil
rebellion. As such if P-TOMS succeeds it will not be just an another
step to make a deal with the rebel movement but also a step towards "the
de-radicalisation of Tamil rebellion".
The President has now decided to put P-TOMS proposal to Parliament.
We can see how the parties will take part in this debate. Whether they
have the courage to enter into a constructive relationship with the LTTE
and try the LTTE's sincerity for a political settlement to the civil
situation which is currently enjoying a temporary holiday will be
exposed during the coming period. Are they ready to look beyond their
coloured glasses?
Are they ready to play the role of statesmen or stateswomen? If not
following is the most fitting term for the people living in this
unfortunate island - 'The wretched of earth' (Apologies to Frantz
Fanon). |